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PBOC Steers Yuan Near 7 With Firm Fixings as State Banks Tighten Dollar Liquidity

Officials seek to slow the rally’s pace to prevent destabilising flows.

Overview

  • The onshore yuan traded near 7.06 per dollar this week, its strongest level in more than a year after firmer daily reference rates.
  • Reuters reported major state banks bought dollars in the spot market and held them rather than recycling via swaps to curb the speed of gains.
  • Back-end dollar/yuan swap points fell, increasing the negative carry for long-yuan positions and discouraging fast-moving bets.
  • An estimated PBOC midpoint near 7.0751 on Friday signalled continued managed appreciation within the currency’s permitted trading band.
  • The yuan is up about 3.3% against the dollar this year, putting it on track for its largest annual rise since 2020 as offshore traders position for further strength.