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Paul R. Ehrlich Dies at 93 as Debate Over His Population Predictions Reignites

His death triggers a fresh reckoning over warnings that clashed with decades of falling hunger.

Overview

  • His daughter, Lisa Marie Daniel, confirmed he died Friday in Palo Alto of cancer complications at a nursing facility at age 93.
  • The Population Bomb, published in 1968, sold about three million copies and warned of imminent mass famine and social collapse.
  • Over time, the global population more than doubled even as the share of people facing hunger declined, aided by agricultural innovation such as the Green Revolution.
  • He lost a 1980 bet with economist Julian Simon on resource scarcity and sent Simon $576.07 in 1990 after the selected metals fell in real price.
  • Obituaries and commentary now sharply differ on his legacy, with critics highlighting failed forecasts and some alleging policy harms, while supporters emphasize his influence on environmental discourse.