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Parallel Diplomacy Moves Forward: Abu Dhabi Yields Prisoner Swap as U.S.–Iran Talks Open in Oman and New START Lapses

Regional pressure salvaged the Muscat session, reflecting a narrow diplomatic opening.

Overview

  • Trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi concluded with plans to continue within weeks, and negotiators confirmed a 314-person prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine.
  • Kyiv rejects Moscow’s demand to recognize occupied territory as Russian, while Russian missile and drone strikes on cities and energy sites continued, with new attacks reported in Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv and Kyiv.
  • After a venue and format standoff, Washington agreed to meet Tehran in Muscat on Friday following Gulf mediation, with Iran seeking a nuclear-only, bilateral track and the U.S. insisting missiles and regional proxies be included.
  • Qatar, Turkey and Egypt circulated a five-point framework that sources say envisions a multi‑year uranium enrichment freeze, transfer of enriched stockpiles, curbs on arming proxies, missile constraints and a U.S.–Iran non‑aggression understanding.
  • The New START treaty expired, U.S. and Russian officials signaled interest in temporary limits and restored senior military contacts, and President Trump called for a broader, modernized pact that includes China, which has refused to join talks.