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Palestinians Shift Toward Negotiations as Confidence in Hamas Falls

A new poll shows war damage, security fears, political anger, distrust of outside plans plus demands for new leaders are pushing more people to prefer talks over armed struggle.

Overview

  • The Palestinian Centre for Policy and Survey Research published a nationwide poll on Thursday, August 13, 2026, finding support for armed struggle fell to 27 percent while support for negotiations rose to 44 percent.
  • Seventy-two percent of respondents oppose Hamas disarming before a full Israeli withdrawal because they fear Israel would not leave Gaza fully if the group surrendered its weapons.
  • Confidence in Hamas to represent Palestinians dropped from 41 percent to 28 percent in about 10 months and more than 40 percent say neither Hamas nor Fatah deserve to lead.
  • Most Palestinians want President Mahmoud Abbas to resign and an imprisoned leader, Marwan Barghouti, tops the list as the preferred successor in head-to-head matchups.
  • Poll respondents showed low trust in the US-backed Board of Peace plan and widespread doubt that the November 2027 elections will take place on schedule or be free and fair, reflecting deep scepticism of external proposals and the election process.