Overview
- Palantir’s Q4 revenue rose 70% to $1.41 billion with adjusted EPS of $0.25, and management guided 2026 revenue to $7.19 billion, up 61% year over year.
- U.S. commercial revenue jumped 137% to $507 million as customer count reached 954, with $4.26 billion in Q4 contract wins including 61 deals over $10 million and 180 over $1 million.
- Adjusted free cash flow hit $791 million in Q4 at a 56% margin and totaled $2.27 billion for 2025 at a 51% margin, underscoring strong profitability.
- Shares reversed initial gains and are down roughly 12% over the past week and about 20% year to date, reflecting concerns over steep multiples such as ~125x forward earnings and a lofty price-to-sales ratio near the mid‑70s.
- Daiwa upgraded the stock to Buy and Trefis/Forbes outlined a target near $182, even as commentators flag concentration in government revenue and the risk that any growth slowdown could compress the valuation.