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Palantir Posts 93% Revenue Jump and Raises 2026 Guidance After Record U.S. Bookings

Surging U.S. commercial demand for Palantir’s sovereign AI platform could determine whether record bookings translate into lasting revenue.

Overview

  • Palantir reported second‑quarter revenue of about $1.94 billion, a roughly 93% year‑over‑year increase, and raised full‑year 2026 revenue guidance to about $8.15 billion after markets closed in early August.
  • U.S. commercial demand drove the surge, with U.S. commercial revenue up about 149% to $764 million, U.S. revenue up roughly 115% to $1.573 billion, net dollar retention at 157%, and a record $2.132 billion of U.S. commercial total contract value closed in the quarter.
  • Profitability and cash generation strengthened materially with adjusted EPS of $0.41, an adjusted operating margin near 62%, and roughly $1.22 billion of free cash flow in Q2.
  • Markets reacted with an immediate near‑30% rally that cleared the 200‑day moving average and prompted multiple analyst upgrades and higher targets, but trading soon showed profit‑taking, disclosures of short positions, and some institutional selling.
  • The central near‑term test is whether Palantir can convert its expanded backlog into recurring revenue in Q3 and beyond; that outcome will determine if the company can sustain growth needed to justify its elevated valuation given concentrated U.S. exposure and rising competition for enterprise AI.