Overview
- A fresh government review of the planned purchase of 88 F-35A jets has stretched past a promised summer timeline with no final decision announced.
- The Auditor General reported procurement estimates rising to $27.7 billion, excluding at least $5.5 billion for infrastructure and weapons, while the Parliamentary Budget Officer pegs lifetime sustainment at $53.8 billion.
- A 2026–2030 capability gap looms as CF-18 survivability declines, first F-35s are not expected in Canada until 2028, and key squadron facilities are already more than three years behind schedule.
- Persistent shortages of qualified pilots and specialized technicians, along with slow project planning, threaten timely absorption of the new fleet and push full operational capability into the late 2030s.
- Saab continues to lobby with its Gripen E as a cheaper alternative, while U.S. and RCAF arguments emphasize NORAD and NATO interoperability and Arctic deterrence advantages with the F-35.