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Oracle’s AI Cloud Surges Even as Stock Falls 20% This Year

Strong cloud growth alongside high‑margin database services bolsters the case for Oracle’s AI strategy.

Overview

  • Oracle shares are down about 20% this year as investors reassess AI spending payoffs and geopolitical risks weigh on sentiment.
  • Cloud infrastructure revenue jumped more than 80% to $4.9 billion in the most recent quarter, reflecting heavy AI capacity demand.
  • Management called the quarter exceptional, with total revenue and non‑GAAP earnings per share each rising at least 20% for the first time in 15 years.
  • Oracle guides gross margin of roughly 30% to 40% on GPU compute, while general‑purpose compute and related services carry higher margins.
  • The company’s multi‑cloud database service delivers an estimated 60% to 80% gross margin, supporting management’s view that its data center business is highly profitable overall.