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Oracle’s $638 Billion Contract Backlog Fuels Aggressive $70B CapEx as Shares Fall

The huge contracted backlog gives multi‑year revenue visibility but forces Oracle to raise roughly $40 billion to fund a rapid AI data‑center buildout.

Overview

  • Oracle disclosed on June 10 that remaining performance obligations, which measure signed but unrecognized customer contracts, reached $638 billion and management expects about 12% to convert to revenue in the next 12 months.
  • The company reported fiscal Q4 revenue of $19.2 billion and adjusted EPS above estimates, powered by 47% cloud growth and a 93% increase in cloud infrastructure (IaaS) revenue.
  • Oracle said it signed $67 billion of new AI infrastructure contracts in the quarter and that $75 billion of large AI deals are either prepaid or bring‑your‑own‑hardware, arrangements the company says reduce its direct chip purchases and upfront cash needs.
  • Heavy data‑center spending drove fiscal 2026 free cash flow to roughly negative $23.7 billion and Oracle plans about $70 billion of net capex for fiscal 2027 while seeking roughly $40 billion of additional debt and equity financing.
  • Investors sold shares after the earnings release because they worry about the timing of converting the backlog to cash, concentrate exposure to large customers, and the risks of delivering hyperscale sites; analysts remain broadly positive on long‑term growth but flag near‑term leverage and execution as key watchpoints.