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OPEC+ Keeps March Quotas Unchanged as Compensation Cuts Trim February Allowance

The group cited market volatility tied to geopolitics, keeping withheld barrels on standby.

Overview

  • OPEC+ confirmed March 2026 quotas will stay at December 2025 levels, extending the pause on planned output increases.
  • The bloc reiterated that 1.65 million bpd of previously withheld supply could return gradually if conditions warrant.
  • TASS calculations show the aggregate February quota fell by about 293,000 bpd to 32.584 million bpd due to higher compensation for past overproduction.
  • Iraq, the UAE, Kazakhstan, and Oman face a combined 708,000 bpd in compensation obligations for February under schedules running through June.
  • The JMMC reported compliance for November–December 2025 and recommended no policy change, as officials flagged volatility linked to Iran and Venezuela and noted recent price strength near $70 with disruptions in Kazakhstan.