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One Nation Tops Victorian Primary Vote as Poll Shockwaves Hit South Australia

Fresh polls in Victoria and South Australia show the party reshaping electoral maths with results likely to turn on preference flows.

Overview

  • Roy Morgan reports One Nation leading Victoria’s primary vote at 26.5% to Labor’s 25.5%, a scenario the pollster says could produce a hung parliament with preferences decisive.
  • Newspoll and YouGov snapshots in South Australia put One Nation’s primary support near a quarter of voters, threatening Liberal seats while Labor holds a commanding statewide lead.
  • Nationally, Resolve records Labor at 32% with One Nation level with the Coalition on 23%, reinforcing the minor party’s unprecedented reach across multiple jurisdictions.
  • Prime Minister Anthony Albanese condemned Pauline Hanson’s Feb 16 claim that there are no “good” Muslims, escalating political pushback as Hanson’s comments draw national scrutiny.
  • Operational headwinds persist, with Victorian disclosures showing less than $100 in donations last year even as Labor elders urge a tactical move in the Farrer byelection to preference Liberals ahead of One Nation.