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On Eve of Illinois Primary, Tight Three-Way Democratic Senate Fight Tops Rare Open-Seat Shake-Up

The outcome will be read as a test of outside money’s sway in a contest likely to decide Illinois’ next senator.

Overview

  • Sen. Dick Durbin’s retirement and five open House seats set up unusual turnover across Illinois’ delegation as voters head to the polls Tuesday.
  • Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi enters primary day with a large cash lead and earlier polling advantages, but late surveys show a close race with Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as Rep. Robin Kelly remains viable.
  • Gov. J.B. Pritzker backs Stratton and the Congressional Black Caucus’ political arm supports Kelly, while a claimed posthumous Jesse Jackson endorsement for Stratton could not be verified.
  • Outside spending has surged, with AdImpact tracking over $55 million in Senate ads and $37 million in House contests, including crypto-linked funding and disputed ties to AIPAC’s United Democracy Project.
  • Immigration remains a defining issue after federal enforcement clashes in Chicago, with Stratton calling to abolish ICE, Krishnamoorthi targeting “Trump’s ICE,” and Kelly advocating dismantling the Department of Homeland Security.