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Omega Block Drives Severe Heatwave Across Western Europe

Attribution scientists say human-caused warming made this event virtually impossible, raising the odds of far hotter nights as baseline temperatures climb.

Overview

  • The stalled high-pressure pattern known as an omega block has parked hot, dry air over large parts of Western Europe, pushing daytime temperatures above 40°C and near 44°C in some spots and contributing to more than 50 deaths in France.
  • An omega block forms when the jet stream weakens and large north–south Rossby waves trap a high-pressure ridge between two lows, forcing air down, clearing clouds and trapping heat over the same region for days to weeks.
  • A World Weather Attribution analysis released on 26 June concluded this heat episode would have been virtually impossible without human-caused climate change and that unusually warm night-time temperatures are now far more likely.
  • Cities are facing worse conditions because urban heat islands and waste heat from air conditioners amplify surface temperatures, and hospitals and emergency services in the region are reporting severe strain.
  • Meteorological agencies say the block could hold for days to weeks unless a strong upstream storm breaks it, and scientists are continuing to study whether blocking patterns themselves are becoming more common as the climate warms.