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Ollie’s Tops Q4, Sets 2026 Outlook With 75 New Stores and EPS $4.40–$4.50

Guidance leans on faster openings, distribution upgrades, a larger buyback.

Overview

  • Fourth-quarter results beat expectations with net sales up 17% to $779 million, comparable sales up 3.6%, adjusted EPS of $1.39, and adjusted EBITDA up 16%, though severe winter storms depressed late-quarter comps.
  • For fiscal 2026, management guided to $2.985–$3.013 billion in net sales, about 2% comparable growth, and roughly 75 new stores, with capital spending projected at $103–$113 million.
  • The balance sheet showed $563 million in cash and investments and no meaningful long-term debt; the company repurchased $74 million in fiscal 2025 and plans to return around 50% of free cash flow with a conservative $100 million buyback assumption in 2026.
  • Ollie’s opened a record 86 stores in fiscal 2025 using a soft-opening model that enabled faster rollouts but flattened early sales trends, a dynamic management is continuing to evaluate.
  • Loyalty reached roughly 17 million members as management cited a 23% increase in new signups, while separate coverage referenced a 12% growth figure, and the company detailed merchandising shifts, a pivot to digital marketing, distribution expansions in Texas and Illinois, and a long-term algorithm targeting 10% unit growth, 2% comps, and about a 40.5% gross margin toward a ~1,300-store footprint.