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Oil Tops $100 Again as New Gulf Strikes Deepen Hormuz Shutdown

The IEA says the war has created the largest oil supply disruption on record, with flows through Hormuz reduced to a trickle.

Overview

  • IEA members approved a record 400 million‑barrel emergency stock release, including 172 million from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve, though delivery timelines remain unspecified.
  • At least three more vessels were struck overnight, including two tankers set ablaze near Iraq’s Umm Qasr with one fatality and a container ship hit north of Jebel Ali, maritime alerts and officials said.
  • Iraq suspended operations at its oil terminals after the attacks, and commercial transits through the Strait of Hormuz have largely halted, according to UKMTO and the IEA.
  • Brent hovered near $100 after spiking toward $118 earlier in the week, as traders judged reserve drawdowns insufficient to counter ongoing risks to seaborne energy flows.
  • The IEA projected an 8 million barrels‑per‑day drop in March supply as airlines cut flights, fertilizer shipments face disruption, and U.S. officials signal tanker escorts could begin later this month.