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Oil Shock Sends China’s EV Exports to Record as Carmakers Pivot Overseas

Higher fuel costs tied to the Iran conflict are pulling buyers toward plug‑in cars abroad.

Overview

  • China exported 349,000 new energy vehicles in March, up about 140% from a year earlier, which set a monthly record, according to CPCA data.
  • Plug‑in hybrids and range‑extended EVs drove the surge, helped by charging gaps in many markets and a tariff edge for PHEVs in the European Union.
  • BYD lifted its 2026 overseas sales goal to 1.5 million units after telling analysts the Strait of Hormuz disruption is pushing its foreign demand to another level.
  • Home demand stayed weak as CAAM reported March passenger‑car sales down 19.2% year over year, with NEV sales logging a third straight monthly decline.
  • Tesla’s Shanghai factory shipped 29,563 vehicles overseas in March, and analysts at UBS say export growth could more than offset China’s domestic slump this year.