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Ohio Shifts From GOP Stronghold to High-Stakes Battleground

Republicans are redirecting tens of millions to Ohio after tight private polls and an unresolved abuse scandal around Rep. Max Miller tightened several statewide and House races.

Overview

  • Rep. Max Miller faces public allegations of domestic abuse that he denies, his former father-in-law Senator Bernie Moreno has urged him to resign, and Miller has so far refused to leave the ballot despite pressure from party figures.
  • Republican operatives say they will send tens of millions of dollars and adjust campaign staffing in Ohio to defend vulnerable contests that were once viewed as safe for the party.
  • Private Republican polling shows GOP Sen. Jon Husted running in a dead heat with Democrat Sherrod Brown while Brown has outraised Husted by nearly three to one, prompting Husted to hire veteran strategist Matt Mason.
  • The governor’s contest between Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton is narrowly competitive in polls, with Republicans warning Ramaswamy has struggled to connect with the state’s blue-collar voters.
  • Party strategists warn that Ohio’s sudden volatility could foreshadow problems for Republicans across other blue-collar Midwestern states and reshape national midterm resource plans.