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Oceans Near May Heat Record as Copernicus Ranks April 2026 Third-Warmest

A likely El Niño would add to human-driven warming to push temperatures and extreme weather higher.

Overview

  • Copernicus said Friday that April 2026 ranked third-warmest globally with a 14.89°C average.
  • Sea-surface temperatures outside the polar regions averaged about 21°C, the second-highest for April, and record marine heatwaves stretched from the central equatorial Pacific to the U.S. and Mexico west coasts.
  • Samantha Burgess of ECMWF/Copernicus said it is likely only days before sea-surface records are set for May.
  • Polar indicators were weak, with Arctic sea ice about 5% below the 1991–2020 average for April and Antarctic sea ice roughly 10% below normal.
  • The WMO says El Niño is increasingly likely between May and July, a Pacific pattern that often lifts global temperatures the following year, and some scientists project 2027 could surpass 2024 as the hottest year if it develops.