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NYDIG Says Equity Link Explains Only a Quarter of Bitcoin Moves as Correlations Rise

The firm argues the recent stock-like action reflects shared liquidity sensitivity, with most price drivers remaining crypto specific.

Overview

  • A new research note from NYDIG’s Greg Cipolaro estimates roughly 25% of Bitcoin’s price variation is tied to equities.
  • Bitcoin’s 90-day correlation with software shares has climbed since a record above $126,000 in October, alongside higher links to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.
  • NYDIG attributes the co-movement to both assets being treated as long-duration, liquidity-sensitive exposures during risk-on and risk-off swings.
  • The firm cites ETF flows, derivatives positioning, network activity, and policy developments as distinct forces that drive the majority of Bitcoin returns.
  • The note says Bitcoin currently behaves more like a risk asset than a hedge such as gold, yet still offers diversification benefits in portfolios.