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North Texas Forecast: Weekend Rain Likely With Brief Flood Risk Before Heat Returns

An approaching upper-level low will lift moisture and raise weekend rain chances, producing a localized flood threat before drier, much hotter conditions move back in next week.

Overview

  • Thursday starts warm and muggy with daytime highs in the mid to upper 80s and feels-like temperatures near 90°F, with a chance of isolated afternoon showers.
  • Rain chances climb Thursday into the weekend as an upper-level low moves in from the southwest, with forecasts showing roughly 70% probability Saturday and 50% Sunday for the DFW area.
  • Forecasters say there is a low-end level 1/4 flood risk from Thursday through Sunday, meaning localized flash flooding is possible where heavy rain sets up.
  • The overall severe threat is low but some storms this weekend could produce small hail, gusty winds, frequent lightning, and pockets of heavy rain that could exacerbate flooding.
  • Once the system departs, models project a quick return to dry weather and hotter temperatures, with highs back in the 90s and feels-like values reaching the lower triple digits by mid next week.