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North Carolina Approves GOP-Leaning House Map as Mid-Decade Redistricting Fight Intensifies

Court rulings and a pending California ballot decision could decide how many seats shift before the 2026 elections.

Overview

  • North Carolina’s Republican legislature finalized a congressional map expected to favor the GOP in 11 of 14 seats, reworking Democrat Don Davis’s 1st District from a narrow Trump +3 to roughly Trump +12 and inviting likely legal challenges.
  • President Trump’s push for mid-cycle redraws has already produced new maps in Texas and Missouri, with Republicans eyeing up to seven additional seats from those three states if the plans withstand court and procedural hurdles.
  • Indiana Senate Republicans said they currently lack the votes for a mid-decade remap despite pressure from the White House and allies, as Gov. Mike Braun projects confidence and polling shows notable public opposition.
  • California’s Proposition 50 goes to voters on Nov. 4 and, with support from Gov. Gavin Newsom and Barack Obama, would temporarily return map-drawing to lawmakers and could help Democrats target up to five GOP-held seats through 2030.
  • Multiple battles are headed to the courts, including challenges to Texas’s map and potential suits in North Carolina and Missouri, as a Supreme Court case on the Voting Rights Act could reshape how race is considered in districting nationwide.