Overview
- International agencies have confirmed a developing global El Niño and Peruvian meteorologists report above‑normal sea and air temperatures along the coast that are already changing seasonal weather patterns.
- Senamhi says the coming winter will lack typical cold and cloud cover and that coastal areas will see unusually warm, sunny conditions that can combine with moisture to produce sporadic rains.
- Cenepred used Senamhi’s advisory to identify 250 districts on the northern coast and in the sierra at high or very‑high risk of huaicos, landslides and other mass‑movement hazards, and Indeci has issued prevention recommendations.
- Regional experts in Piura and ocean scientists report extreme sea‑surface anomalies and say fast action is needed for river desilting, pump checks, dike repairs and early‑warning systems because defenses and prevention spending are currently insufficient.
- ENFEN and Senamhi project ocean warming to peak around November–December with the highest impacts then and a risk of reduced rains and drought in parts of the Andes and Amazon in early 2027 if a strong El Niño materializes.