Overview
- NOAA’s outlook projects 8 to 14 named storms with 3 to 6 hurricanes and up to 3 major hurricanes, and Colorado State University forecasts about 13 named storms with 6 hurricanes.
- The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center gives high odds that El Niño will develop this summer, a pattern that typically increases upper‑level wind shear and limits Atlantic storm formation.
- Short‑range models and unusually warm Gulf and western Caribbean sea surface temperatures keep the door open for early June and July development, so forecasters say seasonal totals do not rule out landfalls.
- Local emergency managers in South Florida and the Gulf Coast are urging immediate steps—assemble emergency kits, refill prescriptions, secure fuel and insurance documents, and know evacuation zones—because one storm can cause major damage.
- NOAA and the National Hurricane Center have resumed daily tropical outlooks and rolled out new visualization and experimental modeling tools to track disturbances as the season opens June 1.