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Nike Falls Below $40 to Multi‑Year Lows on China and Digital Slump

Investors say one‑time tariff gains and weak guidance leave doubt about a sustained turnaround ahead of September earnings.

Overview

  • Nike shares slipped to fresh 52‑week and multi‑year lows below $40 on Monday, extending a collapse that has wiped roughly three quarters off the stock since 2021.
  • Greater China was the biggest drag in fiscal 2026 with sales down about 11% reported and 13% on a currency‑neutral basis while China digital sales fell roughly 29%.
  • Reported gross margin improvement in the quarter largely reflected an expected $986 million tariff recovery that lifted EPS by about $0.52 and masked flat underlying margins.
  • Channel mix is working against growth because wholesale rose while Nike Direct and digital sales contracted, a dynamic that management says it is trying to rebalance.
  • Analysts have cut ratings and targets, insiders disclosed recent share sales, management guided near‑term revenue declines, and markets are watching the September 29 earnings for evidence the turnaround will stick.