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NHLBI-Backed JAMA Study Finds MRI and Blood Tests Improve HCM Risk Prediction

Five measured factors emerge as key drivers of death or major complications.

Overview

  • The JAMA study, released Monday, found that combining cardiac MRI, clinical history, and the blood marker NT-proBNP predicts adverse events in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy more accurately than current tools.
  • The Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Registry enrolled 2,698 people at 44 centers across North America and Europe and tracked outcomes for about seven years.
  • Researchers identified five predictors of poor outcomes: the extent of scar on MRI, thicker heart muscle, larger heart chambers, a past history of heart failure, and elevated NT-proBNP, a protein that signals heart stress.
  • During follow-up, 117 major events occurred in 104 participants, including deaths, sustained dangerous heart rhythms treated with shocks, left-ventricular assist device implants, or heart transplants.
  • NHLBI’s acting director said the results support adding MRI and biomarkers to risk assessment, and investigators plan to create a formal risk score and test it in outside datasets; people who already had defibrillators were not included, so the findings apply to patients without those devices at enrollment.