Overview
- The National Hurricane Center upgraded Invest AL97 to a high formation probability, giving it a 70% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within 48 hours and seven days based on Sunday night analysis.
- Forecasters said the system is expected to move west‑northwest and is likely to become a short‑lived tropical depression or tropical storm before reaching the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana coast on Tuesday or Tuesday night.
- A recon flight was scheduled to investigate the northern Gulf low on Monday morning and a Gale Warning has been issued for portions of the northern Gulf in anticipation of strengthening.
- The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly are producing heavy showers, strong gusts and rough seas across the northeastern Caribbean but show no closed surface circulation and have near‑zero 48‑hour redevelopment odds and about a 20% seven‑day chance.
- Regardless of formal development, both features are expected to bring locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds and hazardous seas to coastal communities with flooding and marine impacts the main local concerns and warming Gulf waters and coastal geometry can favor rapid, short‑lived spin‑ups.