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Newsom Halts Fundraising Push for Prop 50 as Polls Show Measure Leading

The governor says the campaign has the resources it needs, with surveys pointing to voter approval next week.

Overview

  • Proposition 50 would temporarily replace California’s independent redistricting commission with a legislature-drawn congressional map for 2026, 2028 and 2030 before the commission resumes after the 2030 census.
  • The Yes on 50 effort reports $119 million raised as of Oct. 28, including about $38 million from 1.2 million small‑dollar contributions, with major donations from House Majority PAC (~$15 million), a Soros‑linked group (~$10 million) and Tom Steyer (~$12 million).
  • Opposition groups are far outgunned financially and report far less cash on hand, and tracking shows their ad spending has slowed significantly in the campaign’s final stretch.
  • Recent polling shows majority support: CBS News/YouGov at 62% yes, Emerson College at 57% yes, and PPIC at 56% yes among likely voters.
  • Analyses indicate the proposed map could put up to five Republican-held seats in play for Democrats, a shift that could influence control of the U.S. House, as early returns show Democratic ballot advantages and more than 4.7 million votes cast by Oct. 28.