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New ‘Stochastic Siren’ Uses Gravitational-Wave Hum to Measure the Hubble Constant

Upper limits from current LVK observations already disfavor very slow cosmic expansion, pushing combined gravitational-wave estimates toward the existing Hubble tension.

Overview

  • Researchers at the University of Illinois and the University of Chicago detail the method in a paper published in Physical Review Letters.
  • The approach infers cosmic expansion by analyzing the unresolved gravitational-wave background from countless black hole mergers.
  • Applied to present LVK data, the absence of a detected background rules out very low H0 scenarios favored by slower-expansion models.
  • Combining this background constraint with individual standard-siren events shifts the inferred H0 toward the region of the known tension.
  • The authors estimate the background will likely be detected within about six years as detector sensitivity improves, with constraints tightening even before a direct detection.