Overview
- The last U.S.–Russia nuclear arms accord is set to lapse on February 5 with no successor talks underway.
- President Donald Trump told the New York Times, "If it expires, it expires," and said any new agreement should include China.
- Moscow proposed in September that both sides continue observing New START limits for 12 months, but the United States has not formally accepted.
- Russia halted treaty inspections in 2023 and is developing systems outside New START’s scope, such as the Burevestnik cruise missile and Poseidon torpedo.
- Experts warn the removal of caps could trigger rapid “uploading” of additional warheads onto existing missiles, while urging near-term risk-reduction steps like broader crisis hotlines that currently do not exist for European capitals.