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New Polls Show Rep. Thomas Massie Leading Trump-Backed Ed Gallrein in Kentucky GOP Primary

The surveys gauge the pull of Trump's endorsement in a safe Republican seat.

Overview

  • Two independent public polls show Massie holding a single-digit edge over Gallrein, with one measure at 46.8 percent to 37.7 percent and 14 percent undecided.
  • The Quantus Insights survey polled 438 likely GOP primary voters on April 6–7 and reported a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 points.
  • A Big Data Poll of 433 likely voters from April 3–7 found a 52 to 48 race and its director said the contest has tightened over the past month.
  • Trump is campaigning for Gallrein and has attacked Massie, including at a March 11 rally in Hebron where he urged Republicans to vote the congressman out.
  • The May 19 primary will test whether a White House-backed challenge can oust a Republican who pushed to release Epstein-related files and opposed some spending and Iran policy in a district that is likely to stay Republican in November.