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New Polls Show Majority Question Trump’s Mental Sharpness, With Erosion in GOP Confidence

A pre–State of the Union Reuters-Ipsos survey found 61% describing the 79-year-old president as "erratic with age," with year-over-year declines across multiple fitness measures.

Overview

  • A Reuters-Ipsos poll released before the State of the Union found 61% say President Trump has "become erratic with age," including 30% of Republicans.
  • In the same survey, the share calling him "mentally sharp and able to deal with challenges" fell to 45% from 54% since September 2023.
  • A recent CNN poll reports those saying he has the stamina and sharpness to serve dropped to 46% from 53% in late 2023.
  • Washington PostABC News–Ipsos polling shows 56% doubt his mental sharpness and 51% question his physical health, both up since May 2023 by 13 and 23 points respectively.
  • Pew Research finds "very confident" ratings in his mental fitness slid to 32% from 39% overall, with Republicans who are "very confident" down to 66% from 75% as physical confidence among Republicans fell to 55% from 65%.