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New Polls Put Trump at Record Lows on Cost of Living as Independent Support Collapses

Analysts cite inflation with gas prices tied to the Iran war as a mounting risk to Republicans in 2026.

Overview

  • Yahoo/YouGov polling conducted March 12–16 finds Trump 41 points underwater on the cost of living, with 26% approval and 67% disapproval.
  • The same survey shows a 71‑point swing among independents on cost of living since October 2024, leaving Trump about 60 points underwater with that bloc.
  • Trump’s economic standing in the Yahoo/YouGov series also hit a low, with a net approval of minus 29 on the economy and overall job approval at 38% versus 59% disapproval.
  • CNN’s Harry Enten highlighted the slide as a severe warning for Republicans, saying such numbers could cost the party its House majority and potentially the Senate in the 2026 midterms.
  • Separate Daily Mail/JL Partners polling (March 18–20) pegs Trump’s approval at 42% as gas prices approach $3.90 nationally, with voters increasingly opposing the Iran war and 54% saying they would blame Trump if fuel costs rise.