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New Polls Give Democrats a Slim Edge in Wisconsin Governor’s Race

An open seat has sharpened the fight for a pivotal swing-state governorship.

Overview

  • A TechnoMetrica (TIPP) survey of 1,495 registered voters taken March 13–19 shows Republican Tom Tiffany trailing Sara Rodriguez, Mandela Barnes, and David Crowley by 1 to 3 points, within the poll’s ±2.7 point margin of error.
  • Nonpartisan handicappers at Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball still rate the contest a toss-up in a battleground where control of governors’ mansions sits at 26 for Republicans and 24 for Democrats.
  • The Democratic primary remains wide open, with a Marquette Law School poll finding 65% of Democratic voters undecided and early support in the low double digits, while Tiffany leads the GOP field at 35% in the same survey.
  • The field includes Democrats Sara Rodriguez, Mandela Barnes, Francesca Hong, David Crowley, Kelda Roys, and Brett Hulsey, with Tiffany the most prominent Republican entrant.
  • Left-leaning coverage, citing a Bulwark analysis, describes rising Democratic energy in Wisconsin and highlights GOP legislative retirements, signaling fluid party strength beyond the governor’s race.