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New Poll Shows Roy Leading Texas GOP AG Race as Middleton’s Surge Points to Runoff

Mayes Middleton’s rise follows a statewide ad blitz funded largely by his own money.

Overview

  • An updated University of Houston Hobby School poll puts Chip Roy near 33% and Mayes Middleton around 23%, leaving Roy well short of the majority needed to avoid a runoff.
  • Early in-person voting begins Feb. 17, with the March 3 primary deciding whether the top two advance to a runoff if no candidate tops 50%.
  • AdImpact reports Middleton has contributed more than $10 million to his bid and spent over $9 million on advertising, more than double Roy’s ad outlay.
  • Middleton’s ‘MAGA Mayes’ spots highlight Trump’s past endorsement of him and question Roy’s ties to Trump, while Roy calls the attacks inaccurate and stresses his conservative record.
  • Roy is endorsed by Sen. Ted Cruz, Ken Paxton backs Aaron Reitz who polls near 6% and disputes the survey, and both Roy and Middleton have given up their current seats to run.