Overview
- An Odoxa-Mascaret poll reports Édouard Philippe would defeat Jordan Bardella 52% to 48% in a head-to-head second round.
- The same survey shows Bardella and his Rassemblement National leading first-round intentions at about 34%, with Philippe near 21%.
- Odoxa tested different first-round lineups and found a united right and center puts Philippe at 25% and RN at 38%, while a separate Bruno Retailleau run leaves Philippe at 21%, RN at 34%, and Retailleau at 8%.
- An Elabe poll for BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche also shows Philippe ahead of Bardella in a runoff by roughly 51.5% to 48.5%.
- The Odoxa survey was conducted online with 1,299 people, including 1,206 registered voters, with a 1.5 to 3.5 point margin of error and is a snapshot rather than a forecast.