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New Jersey Governor’s Race Tightens, Sherrill Leads by Five as Early Voting Nears

Turnout now looms as the deciding factor after a new RutgersEagleton poll shows a slim Democratic edge.

Overview

  • A RutgersEagleton survey released Thursday puts Mikie Sherrill at 50% to Jack Ciattarelli’s 45% among 795 likely voters, with a 4.7-point margin of error from polling conducted Oct. 3–17.
  • President Trump will headline a Ciattarelli tele‑rally Friday night on the eve of early voting, and 52% of voters in the poll called Trump a major factor in the race.
  • Both campaigns claim momentum heading into early voting that begins Saturday, with Sherrill touting strong vote‑by‑mail returns and Ciattarelli citing robust GOP mail ballots and cross‑party endorsements from some Democratic mayors.
  • National figures are converging on the state, with Barack Obama scheduled to rally for Sherrill in Newark on Nov. 1 and MAGA allies such as Vivek Ramaswamy and Rep. Byron Donalds boosting Ciattarelli.
  • Sherrill has stepped up outreach to Jewish communities, including a visit to Lakewood, while activists expect the influential Lakewood Vaad to back Ciattarelli, a potential lift with Orthodox voters.