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New Index Shows Homebuying Easing in Germany as Major Cities Remain Pricey

Researchers attribute the shift to rising wages alongside slightly lower mortgage rates.

Overview

  • An IW/Interhyp analysis finds model higher‑income households needed about 29% of net income to finance a flat in October 2025, corresponding to an index reading of 128 that remains well below 2015 levels.
  • Affordability diverges sharply by region, with many rural areas around 26% burdens while large metros remain far tougher; Düsseldorf and Stuttgart are comparatively easier than Berlin, Hamburg, Cologne and Frankfurt.
  • Munich is the least affordable major city at roughly a 43% income burden for the model household, with tourist hotspots such as Nordfriesland also ranking as highly expensive.
  • IW and Interhyp urge policy steps including lower real‑estate transfer tax, streamlined planning and approvals, and targeted low‑interest subordinate loans, citing Schleswig‑Holstein’s program as a working example.
  • IW’s Michael Voigtländer forecasts a moderate 3–4% rise in property prices and rents in 2026 given firm demand and constrained supply.