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2mo ago

New EU Poll Finds Majority See High Risk of War With Russia

The findings sharpen arguments for a rapid build-up of European defense autonomy toward a 2030 goal.

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Selon un sondage, 80% des Français estiment que la Russie constitue «une menace pour la souveraineté des pays de l’Union européenne».

Overview

  • A Cluster17/Le Grand Continent survey of 9,553 people across nine EU countries published Dec. 4–5 reports 51% judge the risk of Russia going to war with their country as high or very high.
  • About 69% say their country could not defend itself against a Russian attack, with respondents in France least pessimistic and large majorities in Belgium, Italy and Portugal judging their nations unable to defend themselves.
  • Perceived risk varies widely by country, with 77% in Poland seeing a high risk, 54% in France and 51% in Germany, while 65% of Italians see the risk as low or nonexistent.
  • Terrorism is viewed as the most immediate danger by 63% of respondents, and 81% do not expect a war with China in the coming years.
  • The poll reinforces recent warnings by European leaders and a government-commissioned Thiériot report urging Europe to be able to fight a high-intensity conflict alone by around 2030, alongside EU financing tools and an industrial ramp-up in munitions and aircraft production.