Particle.news
Download on the App Store

New Channel 12 Poll Finds No Bloc Majority, Centrist Merger Would Lead With 38 Seats

The survey leaves both blocs short of 61, making Arab-party backing pivotal.

Overview

  • Channel 12/Mida projects Likud at 27 seats and Bennett’s party at 21, with the Joint List at 12 and overall tallies of 57 for the opposition and 51 for the coalition.
  • A full BennettLapidEisenkot merger is modeled at 38 seats, outpacing Likud at 27 while leaving coalition arithmetic dependent on Arab-party support.
  • The poll shows several parties below the electoral threshold, including Religious Zionism, Blue and White, and the Reservists party led by Yoaz Hendel.
  • Among opposition voters, 48% support forming a government with external backing from the Joint List and 37% oppose, reflecting mixed attitudes toward such an arrangement.
  • Netanyahu leads head-to-head suitability for prime minister over Bennett (42%–33%), Lapid (42%–24%), and Eisenkot (43%–28%), while a separate Channel 14 poll reports a stronger right-bloc at 64 seats and Likud at 34.