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New California Poll Puts Gavin Newsom Ahead of Kamala Harris in Early 2028 Democratic Test

The UC BerkeleyPolitico survey reports stronger excitement for Newsom among California Democrats.

Overview

  • A Politico/UC Berkeley Citrin Center/TrueDot poll shows Newsom at 28% among California Democratic primary voters, with Harris at 14%, Ocasio-Cortez at 12% and Buttigieg at 11%.
  • The survey, conducted February 25 to March 3, included 1,220 registered voters and 702 likely Democratic primary voters, with a 2.8% margin of error.
  • Enthusiasm measures favor Newsom, with 48% saying they are excited about him compared with 41% for Harris, while 59% are not excited about Harris and 52% are not excited about Newsom.
  • Compared with last year’s Citrin-Politico poll showing a 25% to 19% edge, Newsom’s lead over Harris has widened to 28% to 14%.
  • Newsom is promoting a new memoir on a multistate tour and signaling interest in a post-2026 run, Harris remains undecided, and President Donald Trump has stepped up public attacks on Newsom’s fitness.