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New Analysis Challenges Claim That Trees 'Anticipated' 2022 Solar Eclipse

Ecologists attribute the synchronized signals in Dolomites spruces to a thunderstorm with nearby lightning, not foresight.

Overview

  • A commentary by Ariel Novoplansky and Hezi Yizhaq published February 6, 2026 in Trends in Plant Science disputes the eclipse-anticipation interpretation.
  • The authors reexamined a 2025 Royal Society Open Science paper that reported Norway spruce electrical activity synchronizing about 14 hours before a partial eclipse.
  • Lightning records show 20 strikes within roughly 45 kilometers of the site between October 22 and 25, 2022, including 18 during the 14-hour pre-eclipse window cited by the original study.
  • They argue the eclipse dimmed light by only about 10.5% for two hours, a change comparable to routine cloud cover and unlikely to prompt anticipatory behavior.
  • The critique notes the original dataset covered just three living trees and five stumps at a single site and calls for larger, replicated studies with stricter controls before invoking memory, anticipation, or forest-wide communication.