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Netflix Shares Slide on Brazil Tax Charge as EPS Miss Rekindles Valuation Doubts

A $619 million noncash Brazil assessment drove the earnings shortfall, resetting margin expectations.

Overview

  • The company reported Q3 EPS of $5.87 versus Wall Street’s $6.89 estimate after recording the Brazil tax item.
  • Revenue rose about 17% year over year, helped by membership gains, price increases, and growing ad sales.
  • Operating margin came in at 28% against roughly 31.5% expected, and guidance for 2025 margin was trimmed to about 29%.
  • The stock fell over 10% the day after results, sits roughly 17.6% below its recent high, and shed an estimated $46 billion in market value.
  • Commentary splits between buyers citing durable growth levers like the ad tier and password-sharing enforcement and skeptics warning that a ~45x 2025 multiple leaves room for a larger pullback, with one analysis flagging potential downside toward $500.