Overview
- A cluster of late July and early August national polls shows Likud and Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar tied at about 23 Knesset seats each and no clear single largest party.
- Surveys place the opposition bloc consistently ahead of Netanyahu’s coalition with seat totals that vary roughly between the high 50s and 70 seats depending on the pollster.
- Naftali Bennett’s party has slid to roughly 13–14 seats while the Hendel‑Tropper reservists list cleared the threshold for about four seats and tested right‑wing splinters failed to pass the bar.
- Arab parties are polling at about 11 seats combined, a bloc size that could make them decisive in a closely split Knesset when coalition deals are negotiated.
- Security competence remains the dominant voter concern with Eisenkot boosted by military credentials and Netanyahu still leading some suitability measures, and poll-to-poll differences underline how small shifts could change coalition math.