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Nepal’s Upstart RSP Poised to Win Majority as Vote Count Advances

Preliminary tallies point to a generational power shift driven by a youth backlash over corruption following last year’s social‑media ban–triggered unrest.

Overview

  • Election Commission figures show the Rastriya Swatantra Party has secured roughly 103–106 of 165 directly elected seats and leads in more constituencies.
  • With about half of the proportional vote, the party is on track to surpass the 138-seat threshold needed to govern in the 275-member lower house, pending final certification.
  • Party leader Balendra “Balen” Shah, a former rapper and Kathmandu mayor, is the clear front-runner for prime minister after defeating ex–prime minister K. P. Sharma Oli in his race.
  • Counting continues with final results expected within days, as officials retrieve ballots from remote mountain areas, including by helicopter.
  • The surge has sidelined long-dominant forces in the Nepali Congress and CPN-UML, as Gen Z–driven mobilization and anti-corruption anger reshaped the electoral map, with the RSP urging subdued celebrations in respect for those killed in 2025.