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Nebius Stock Rises After Situational Awareness Discloses 5.6% Stake

The passive disclosure has lifted investor confidence even as Nebius prepares a multi‑billion dollar, multi‑gigawatt expansion that will test its financing and execution plans.

Overview

  • A filing disclosed Wednesday shows Leopold Aschenbrenner’s fund Situational Awareness bought about 12.4 million Class A shares, equal to a 5.6% stake, and the news sent Nebius shares up roughly 11–12% in extended trading.
  • Nebius reported an explosive Q1 with $399 million in revenue, a 684% year‑over‑year jump, and positive adjusted EBITDA that analysts cite as proof demand for GPU cloud capacity is real.
  • The company has secured major partner commitments and capital, including a headline Meta capacity deal, Microsoft agreements, and a reported $2 billion strategic investment from Nvidia.
  • Management has guided very large 2026 spending and power targets, with public reporting of billions in quarter‑one equipment investment and a $20–$25 billion 2026 capex plan to reach multiple gigawatts of contracted power.
  • Investors face clear near‑term risks from heavy capital needs, permitting and power delivery challenges, recent insider selling of about $123.8 million, and elevated short interest that could magnify price swings.