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NBA Sets Vote on '3-2-1' Draft Lottery Reducing Rewards for Bottom Teams

The plan flattens draft odds to curb tanking by cutting the top-pick chances of the three worst teams.

Overview

  • The NBA circulated the proposal to all 30 general managers Tuesday, with reports of majority support and an owners' vote scheduled for May 28.
  • The draft lottery would expand to 16 teams with 37 balls, giving the bottom three clubs a 5.4% chance at No. 1 while most non-playoff teams get 8.1%.
  • A relegation zone would penalize the three worst records, and guardrails would block back-to-back No. 1 picks and three straight top-five selections.
  • If approved, the system would begin with the 2027 draft under a trial that runs through 2029 for re‑evaluation by the Board of Governors.
  • Mavericks co-owner Mark Cuban predicts a surge in trades under flatter odds, while analysts split on whether the changes improve late-season competitiveness or over-punish legitimately bad teams and shift tanking incentives toward the play-in.