Overview
- Nasdaq filed a rule change proposing Outcome-Related Options tied to the Nasdaq-100 and the Nasdaq-100 Micro indexes.
- Each contract would trade between $0.01 and $1 and settle at $1 if the specified outcome occurs, otherwise expiring worthless.
- The products would be listed as securities options subject to SEC review, and no approval has been granted or timeline disclosed.
- The plan arrives as major players expand event-style trading, with Cboe developing similar all-or-nothing offerings and platforms like Coinbase and Gemini rolling out regulated markets.
- Prediction-market activity has surged, with February volumes on Kalshi and Polymarket reported around $18.4 billion, intensifying pressure on regulators to clarify SEC–CFTC boundaries.