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Motilal Oswal Upgrades Swiggy, Reaffirms Buy on Eternal as Quick Commerce Outlook Brightens

Motilal Oswal cites softer competition, GST changes, festive demand as catalysts for quicker margin recovery.

Overview

  • Swiggy was upgraded to Buy with a target price of Rs 560, implying roughly 32% upside, while Eternal (Zomato) was retained at Buy with a Rs 420 target for about 29% upside.
  • The brokerage raised its food-delivery growth forecasts for both platforms to 21–23% for FY26–27, up from 19–20% earlier.
  • It increased the valuation multiple for food-delivery units to 35x FY27E adjusted EBITDA to reflect stronger growth and improved profitability visibility.
  • Profitability timelines for Instamart and Blinkit were brought forward, citing easing discount intensity, moderated dark-store expansion, and lower customer-acquisition costs, with contribution margins expected to recover.
  • Shares moved higher following the note, though the outlook depends on sustained competitive restraint, measured network growth, and the follow-through of policy and seasonal demand tailwinds.