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Mortgage Applications Sink 8.9% as Winter Storm Fern Sidelines Buyers

A slight dip in 30-year rates to about 6.21% failed to spark refinancing, with weekly activity lower yet far above last year’s pace.

Overview

  • Seasonally adjusted purchase applications fell 14% for the week ending Jan. 30, an MBA report that included an MLK holiday adjustment shows.
  • MBA’s Joel Kan said the storm likely kept would-be buyers at home, and the annual gain in purchase applications was the weakest since April 2025.
  • Refinance applications declined 5% week over week but were 117% higher than the same week a year earlier, with refis rising to 57.1% of activity.
  • The average contract rate for 30-year fixed conforming loans edged down to 6.21% from 6.24%, a move described as too small to boost refi incentives.
  • Xactus’ Mortgage Intent Index signaled softer borrower interest, down 3.76% week over week nationally, with steeper drops in storm-hit regions and gains in the Far West and Rocky Mountain areas.