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Moody’s Puts India’s FY26 Growth at 7.3%, Sees Insurance Demand Strengthening

Moody’s says rising incomes, digitisation and policy shifts will keep premiums expanding even as capital and cost pressures persist.

Overview

  • The rating agency forecasts GDP growth of 7.3% in FY26, up from 6.5% the previous year, and links stronger growth to higher household incomes and greater insurance uptake.
  • Total insurance premiums rose 17% to Rs 10.9 lakh crore in April–November 2025-26, with health up 14% and life new business premiums up 20%, according to Moody’s.
  • Moody’s cites digitisation, rising risk awareness and recent tax changes as drivers that should support sustained premium growth and improve profitability.
  • Government actions include a completed minority stake sale in LIC and proposals for recapitalising some state-owned insurers and exploring mergers or privatisations to strengthen performance.
  • Moody’s flags pressure on capital adequacy and analysts note persistent distribution and operating-cost challenges, even as proposals to lift the insurance FDI cap to 100% could enhance financial flexibility.